Crunching The Numbers: Toyota Save Mart 350 at Sonoma

The drivers are back after a week off to soak up some sun. And now they go left – and right! The circuit heads to Sonoma, CA where the first road course of the season is to occur. This is a time for guys like AJ Allmendinger to grab a win and get into the Chase. Or it could be Kyle Busch who celebrates victory once again.

Sonoma Raceway Track Specs

  • Track Length: 1.99 Miles
    • Scheduled Laps: 110(218.9 miles/350 kilometers)
  • Configuration: Road Course
  • Turns: 12

Trends of the Race

Sonoma Track Stats

  • 3 races have gone into overtime (2008, 2009, and 2012)
    • 0 races finished under caution

In the last 5 races races, we have seen:

  • Margin of Victory 2.554 seconds
  • 29 drivers on the lead lap
  • 5 cautions
    • Lap 36 for the first caution
    • Lap 94 for the final caution

In the last 10 races races, we have seen:

  • Margin of Victory 2.369 seconds
  • 31 drivers on the lead lap
  • 6 cautions
    • Lap 25 for the first caution
    • Lap 97 for the final caution

Sonoma Metrics

 

Toyota Save Mart 350 Pole Sitters

Sonoma Pole Winners

 

Dinger Pole!

  • Pole winners have an average finish of 17.08
  • Average laps lead: 22.67 laps (17.5% of the scheduled 110 laps)

 

 

 

Toyota Save Mart 350 Winner Stats

  • The average race winner’s starting position is 10.33
    • Juan Pablo Montoya won in 2007 from starting P32, which is the furthest back a race winner has started
  • 16.67% of pole winners have gone on to win the race
    • Jeff Gordon: 2004
    • Kurt Busch: 2006
  • 41.67% of the winners have come from starting in the top 5
  • 58.33% of the winners have come from starting in the top 10
    • P11 has won twice with Kurt Busch and Kyle Busch in 2011 and 2015 respectively
  • Winning drivers have lead an average of 48.17 laps (43.79% of the scheduled 110 lap race)
    • Fewest laps led by race winner: Juan Pablo Montoya lead 7 laps (6.36% of the race) in 2007
    • Most laps led by a race winner: Jeff Gordon led 92 laps (83.64% of the race) in 2004
  • There have been 10 different race winners from 7 different teams since 2004
    • The Busch Brothers lead the field of multiple wins with 2 a piece
    • Joe Gibbs Racing has 3 wins

xKyleBusch_2015_ToyotaSaveMart350_winner_0.jpg,qitok=LqumHUma.pagespeed.ic.gS_5CdA9Ha 2015 Sonoma Top 5

 

Toyota Save Mart 350 Predictions

Sonoma Team Stats

Sonoma Manufacturers

Hendrick Motorsports is the king when it comes to Sonoma Raceway, and road course racing in general; but with Jeff Gordon no longer behind the wheel, what could step up to the plate? With the way Joe Gibbs Racing’s season is going, I would not be surprised to see a driver from that stable in victory lane. Or could we see Tony Stewart grab one last road course victory and all but earn himself a spot in the Chase?

Sonoma Predictions

Sonoma Past Finishes

Who will find their groove while turning left and right for the first time this season? Will a road course ringer find victory lane? Will a winner from this season already add to their resume in 2016? Stay tuned on Sunday to find out who conquers the first road course of the season!

Ashley Hobbs

I was born on the 9th of March in a year which you need not know. I was born and raised in the great state of New Jersey, but I now reside in Florida. Here is a bit about myself:

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I hope you enjoy my segment, Crunching the Numbers, and getting insights into each weekend's NASCAR race!

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