Crunching The Numbers: Quaker State 400 at Kentucky

Kentucky Speedway Track Specs

  • Track Length: 1.5 Miles
    • Scheduled Laps: 267 (400.5 miles)
  • Configuration: D-Shaped Oval (Intermediate track)
  • Turns 1 & 2 banking: 17°
  • Turns 3 &- 4 banking: 14°
  • Frontstretch
    • Length: 1,662 feet
    • Banking: 10°
  • Backstretch
    • Length: 1,600 feet
    • Banking: 4°

Trends of the Race

Kentucky Track Stats

There have only been five races at Kentucky.

Kentucky Metrics

 

Past Quaker State 400 Pole Sitters

Kentucky Pole Winners

Larson Kentucky Pole

  • Pole winners have an average finish of 11
  • Average laps lead: 71 laps (26.59% of the scheduled 267 laps)

 

 

 

 

 

 

Past Quaker State 400 Winners

  • The average race winner’s starting position is 7
    • Matt Kenseth won in 2013 from starting P16, which is the furthest back a race winner has started
  • 40% of pole winners have gone on to win the race
    • Kyle Busch: 2011
    • Brad Keselowski: 2014
  • 40% of the winners have come from starting in the top 5
  • 80% of the winners have come from starting in the top 10
  • Winning drivers have lead an average of 118.6 laps (44.42% of the scheduled 267 lap race)
    • Fewest laps led by race winner: Matt Kenseth lead 38 laps (14.23% of the race) in 2013
    • Most laps led by a race winner: Brad Keselowski led 199 laps (74.53% of the race) in 2014
  • There have been 3 different race winners from 2 different teams since 2011
    • Kyle Busch and Brad Keselowski have 2 wins a piece
    • Joe Gibbs Racing has 3 wins to Team Penske’s 2 wins

KyB Kentucky Win   Kentucky Past Top 5

 

Team & Manufacturer Stats

Kentucky Team Stats

Kentucky Manufacturers

As mentioned above, there are 2 dominate teams in Kentucky; Team Penske and Joe Gibbs Racing. They have been trading the wins back and forth since the inaugural race in 2011. If that sparing is to continue, it would be a member from Team Penske to come to victory lane this time. Can any other teams step up to the plate and stop the party for these 2 teams, or is someone stepping up to the plate?

 

Quaker State 400 Predictions 

Kentucky Predictions

Kentucky Past Finishes

Well, the math does, in fact, point towards victory for Team Penske with previous winner Brad Keselowski. Non-winner Jimmie Johnson has great numbers when it comes to Kentucky, so he could spoil the party; and let’s face it, he could use a good run. But you also need to not look further to find the other previous winners in Matt Kenseth and Kyle Busch. Another Saturday night race is sure to put on a good show!

Ashley Hobbs

I was born on the 9th of March in a year which you need not know. I was born and raised in the great state of New Jersey, but I now reside in Florida. Here is a bit about myself:

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I hope you enjoy my segment, Crunching the Numbers, and getting insights into each weekend's NASCAR race!

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