Crunching The Numbers: Bad Boy Off Road 300 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway

Challenger Round: 1/3 complete
Chicagoland check mark
Loudon: Sunday, 9/25/16 @ 2pm (EST) on NBCSC
Dover: Sunday, 10/2/16 @ 2pm (EST) on NBCSC

New Hampshire Motor Speedway Track Specs

  • Track Length: 1.058 Miles
    • Scheduled Laps: 300 (317.4 miles)
  • Configuration: Intermediate Oval
  • Turns 1 – 4 banking: 12°
  • Frontstretch
    • Length: 1,500 feet
    • Banking: 2°
  • Backstretch
    • Length: 1,500 feet
    • Banking: 2°

Trends of the Race

loudon-2-track-stats

  • Overtime: 2014
  • Caution Finishes: 2009
  • Rain Shortened: 0 times

Trending of the past 5 races:

  • Margin of Victory 4.105 seconds
  • 8 cautions
    • Lap 47 for the first caution
    • Lap 248 for the final caution
  • 22 drivers on the lead lap

Past Bad Boy Off Road 300 Pole Sitters

loudon-2-past-pole-sitters

carl-edwards-7-17_p3

  • Pole winners have an average finish of 10.17
  • Average laps lead: 74 laps (27.78% of the scheduled 267 laps)

 

 

 

 

 

Past Bad Boy Off Road 300 Winners

  • The average race winner’s starting position is 10.67
    • Denny Hamlin won in 2012 from starting P32, which is the furthest back a race winner has started
    • A Chase driver has won this race every year
  • 16.67% of pole winners have gone on to win the race
    • Kevin Harvick: 2006
    • Clint Bowyer: 2007
  • 25% of the winners have come from starting in the top 5
  • 58.33% of the winners have come from starting in the top 10
  • Winning drivers have lead an average of 112 laps (41.92% of the scheduled 267 lap race)
    • Fewest laps led by race winner: Tony Stewart lead 2 laps (0.75% of the race) in 2011
    • Most laps led by a race winner: Clint Bowyer led 222 laps (83.15% of the race) in 2007
  • There have been 10 different race winners from 6 different teams since 2004
    • Clint Bowyer and Matt Kenseth lead the [active] field with 2 wins
    • Joe Gibbs Racing and Richard Childress Racing lead the field with 3 wins
      • The winner has come from either Joe Gibbs Racing or Team Penske since 2012 with Joe Gibbs Racing taking the win 75% of the time

matt_kenseth_wins_sylvania_300_as_harvick_runs_dry  sylvania-2015-top-5

mk-nh-win  nh-2016-top-5

Team & Manufacturer Stats

loudon-2-team-stats

loudon-2-make-stats

Bad Boy Off Road 300 Predictions & Analysis

loudon-2-predictions

Last year, Matt Kenseth clinched his spot in the second round of the Chase. He is the defending race winner and he is looking for the sweep this year having won earlier this season. But, when it comes to lobsta, Joey Logano and Brad Keselowski have a solid record at the track and will be looking to knock down Joe Gibbs Racing. With Martin Truex Jr. locked into the next round, he will look to continue his hot streak, while the perpetual bridesmaid this season, Chase Elliott, will wonder if cautions will fall his way and he can finally make it to victory lane.

loudon-2-past-finishers

Jimmie Johnson is certainly looking for the bad luck to run out, and his past few races at Loudon in the fall have bee quite nice to him. Can he capitalize on the speed of last week and avoid pit road penalties this weekend and score a solid finish? Can Kevin Harvick bounce back from a poor first round opening?

2016 Chase Drivers’ Stats

loudon-2-chaser-standings

As stated, Martin Truex Jr. is locked into the next round of the Chase. Some surprises come from Kevin Harvick being in a small hole, but nothing out of reach just yet while Jimmie Johnson awaits any penalties that may fall his way and push him down the list. As of now, the remaining 11 spots in the second round are still up for grabs. With no major issues to the Chase drivers in Chicagoland, it makes Loudon and Dover that much more important to not have an issue.

Ashley Hobbs

I was born on the 9th of March in a year which you need not know. I was born and raised in the great state of New Jersey, but I now reside in Florida. Here is a bit about myself:

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I hope you enjoy my segment, Crunching the Numbers, and getting insights into each weekend's NASCAR race!

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