Crunching The Numbers: Citizen Soldier 400 at Dover International Speedway

Challenger Round: 2/3 complete
Chicagoland check mark
Loudon check mark
Dover: Sunday, 10/2/16 @ 2pm (EST) on NBCSC

Dover International Speedway Track Specs

  • Track Length: 1.0 Miles
    • Scheduled Laps: 400 (400 miles)
  • Configuration: Short Track – Oval
  • Turns 1 – 4 banking: 24°
  • Frontstretch
    • Length: 1,076 feet
    • Banking: 9°
  • Backstretch
    • Length: 1,076 feet
    • Banking: 9°

Trends of the Race

dover-2-track-stats

  • Overtime: 0 times
  • Caution Finishes: 0 times
  • Rain Shortened: 0 times

Trending of the past 5 races:

  • Margin of Victory 1.885 seconds
  • 6 cautions
    • Lap 36 for the first caution
    • Lap 336 for the final caution
  • 14 drivers on the lead lap

Past Citizen Soldier 400 Pole Sitters

dover-2-past-pole-sitters

mk-2015-pole

  • Pole winners have an average finish of 8.17
  • Average laps lead: 74.42 laps (18.6% of the scheduled 400 laps)

 

 

 

Past Citizen Soldier 400 Winners

  • The average race winner’s starting position is 7.42
    • Jeff Burton won in 2006 from starting P19, which is the furthest back a race winner has started
    • A Chase driver has won this race 11 ouit of the past 12 years
  • 16.67% of pole winners have gone on to win the race
    • Jimmie Johnson: 2009, 2010
  • 50% of the winners have come from starting in the top 5
  • 75% of the winners have come from starting in the top 10
  • Winning drivers have lead an average of 154 laps (38.48% of the scheduled 400 lap race)
    • Fewest laps led by race winner:Jeff Burton lead 6 laps (1.5% of the race) in 2006
    • Most laps led by a race winner: Kevin Harvick led 355 laps (88.78% of the race) in 2015
  • There have been 9 different race winners from 5 different teams since 2004
    • Jimmie Johnson leads the [active] field with 4 wins
    • Hendrick Motorsports lead the field with 5 wins

kh-dover-2015-win  dover-2015-top-5

mk-dover-2016-win  dover-2016-top-5

Team & Manufacturer Stats

dover-2-team-stats

dover-2-make-stats

Citizen Soldier 400 Predictions & Analysis

dover-2-predictions

Last year, Jimmie Johnson came to Dover and, well, it was not pretty. He failed to advance in the Chase while Kevin Harvick needed to win, and did. Anything can happen when Miles the Monster is in town.

dover-2-past-finishes

Jimmie Johnson is certainly looking for the bad luck to run out, and his past few races at Loudon in the fall have bee quite nice to him. Can he capitalize on the speed of last week and avoid pit road penalties this weekend and score a solid finish? Can Kevin Harvick bounce back from a poor first round opening?

2016 Chase Drivers’ Stats

dover-2-chaser-stats

This year, Kevin Harvick does not need to win at Dover. Who does need to win? Chris Buescher and Tony Stewart are in must win situations if they want to see their Championship hopes stay alive. Austin Dillon and Jamie McMurray are the other two drivers on the outside looking in but only 5 points back from 11th in the standings, Kyle Larson. All drivers who are not Martin Truex Jr. and Kevin Harvick must be attentive all day on Sunday and not get into trouble, or they might just see their championship hopes slipping away.

Ashley Hobbs

I was born on the 9th of March in a year which you need not know. I was born and raised in the great state of New Jersey, but I now reside in Florida. Here is a bit about myself:

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I hope you enjoy my segment, Crunching the Numbers, and getting insights into each weekend's NASCAR race!

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