Crunching The Numbers: Goody’s Fast Relief 500 at Martinsville Speedway

Round 1: Complete
Chicagoland check mark
Loudon check mark
Dover check mark
Eliminated Drivers: Chris Buescher, Jamie McMurray, Kyle Larson, Tony Stewart

Round 2: Complete
Charlotte check mark
Kansas check mark
Talladega: check mark
Eliminated Drivers: Austin Dillon, Brad Keselowski, Chase Elliott, Martin Truex Jr.

Round 3:
Martinsville: Sunday, 10/30/16 @ 1pm (EST) on NBCSN
Texas: Sunday, 11/6/16 @ 2pm (EST) on NBC
Phoenix: Sunday, 11/13/16 @ 2:30pm (EST) on NBC

Martinsville Speedway Track Specs

  • Track Configuration: 0.526 Mile Oval
    • Scheduled Laps: 500 (263 miles)
  • Turns 1 – 4 banking: 12°
  • Frontstretch
    • Length: 8000 feet
    • Banking: 0°
  • Backstretch
    • Length: 800 feet
    • Banking: 0°

Trends of the Race

martinsville-2-track-stats

  • Overtime: 2007, 2008, 2009
  • Caution Finishes: 2007, 2009
  • Rain Shortened: 0 times

Trending of the past 5 races:

  • Margin of Victory 0.387 seconds
  • 16 cautions
    • Lap 14 for the first caution
    • Lap 478 for the final caution
  • 20 drivers on the lead lap

Past Goody’s Fast Relief 500 Pole Sitters

martinsville-2-pole-sitters

27 March 2015: Joey Logano during Cup qualifying at Martinsville Speedway in Martinsville, VA. HHP (Rusty Jarrett )

  • Pole winners have an average finish of 10.83
  • 25% of pole winners have gone on to win the race
  • Average laps lead: 117 laps (23.45% of the scheduled 500 laps)
  • A chase driver has won the pole 9 times (75%) in the The Chase era

Past Goody’s Fast Relief 500 Winners

  • The average race winner’s starting position is 8.92
    • Dale Earnhardt Jr. started from P23 in 2014, the furthest back a race winner has started
  • 50% of the winners have come from starting in the top 5
    • The mode, or most common, starting position of the race winner is P1
  • 66.67% of the winners have come from starting in the top 10
  • Winning drivers have lead an average of 132.83 laps (26.57% of the scheduled 500 lap race)
    • Fewest laps led by race winner: Tony Stewart led 14 laps (2.8% of the race) in 2011
    • Most laps led by a race winner: Jimmie Johnson led 339 laps (67.8% of the race) in 2008
    • A Chase driver has won this race 10 out of the past 12 years
  • There have been 5 different race winners from 3 different teams since 2004
    • Jimmie Johnson leads the [active] field with 5 wins
    • Roush Fenway Racing lead the field with 9 wins
    • Hendrick Motorsports has won this race since 2012

original martinsville-2015-top-5

download martinsville-2016-top-5

Team & Manufacturer Stats

team-stats

manufacturer-stats

Goody’s Fast Relief 500 Predictions & Analysis

martinsville-2-predictions

martinsville-2-finishes

Last year, Jeff Gordon won his 93rd race, his last win before retiring a few weeks later. Jeff Gordon is back in this race, subbing for Dale Earnhardt Jr. Could he be a spoiler in The Chase and win another Martinsville race? Can Kyle Busch sweep the Martinsville races this season and secure himself a spot in the final race to defend his title? Will Jimmie Johnson show his muscles once again at Martinsville and easily slide into Homestead? Or will we see another driver flex their muscles at this crazy paperclip?

2016 Chase Drivers’ Stats

martinsville-2-chaser-stats

If you told me that Brad Keselowski and Martin Truex Jr. would not be fitting until the very end for the title, I would have laughed. But, here we are, entering the third round of The Chase and both Keselowski and Truex Jr. find themselves no longer fighting for a title. Austin Dillon finds himself out as well after losing the tie-breaker to Denny Hamlin. And Chase Elliott had to win at Talladega to keep his title hopes alive thanks to poor finishes the previous two weeks. Looking forward, there are still 8 strong title contenders; 50% of them come from the same team. Could we see an all Joe Gibbs Racing final come Homestead? It is possible, but unlikely. As we see the numbers, 5 drivers have a Chase average finish better than 10th; Kevin Harvick has the worst average finish of 17.33 but thanks to a win in each round, he is still alive and kicking. Who will be alive and kicking in 3 weeks, and who will just be kicking and screaming? It all starts Sunday, October 30th so tune in to see is celebrating and who is scratching their head.

Ashley Hobbs

Birthday: 9 March 1989 (so I do not have to update my age each year)
Location: Florida (Jersey native, born and raised)

What better way to combine 2 of my favorite things, NASCAR and statistics, than providing y'all with an analytical report each weekend during the NASCAR season.

When I am not crunching the numbers, I spend time with my hubby, 3 black cats (Ninja, Daytona, and Chronos), and I watch too much TV, especially Doctor Who. Why yes, I am a geek and proud! So join forces with me and follow my weekly Crunching The Numbers segment. Who knows, I may surprise you!

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