Crunching The Numbers: 2017 Kobalt 400

Race #3 of the 2017 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series brings us west to the Kobalt 400 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway. Who is lucky enough as #NASCARGoesWest to grab victory in Sin City?

Las Vegas Motor Speedway Track Specs

  • Track Configuration: 1.5 Mile D-Shaped Oval
  • Scheduled Laps: 267(400.5 miles)
    • Stage 1 End Lap: 80
    • Stage 2 End Lap: 160
  • Turns 1 – 4 banking: 20°
  • Frontstretch
    • Length: 2,275 feet
    • Banking: 9°
  • Backstretch
    • Length: 1,572 feet
    • Banking: 9°

Trends of the Race

  • Overtime: 2 times since 2004; most recently in 2009
  • Caution Finishes: 0
  • Rain Shortened: 0

Trending of the past 5 races:

  • Margin of Victory 0.980 seconds
  • 6 cautions
    • Lap 38 for the first caution
    • Lap 228 for the final caution
  • 20 drivers on the lead lap

Trending of the past 10 races:

  • Margin of Victory 1.173 seconds
  • 8 cautions
    • Lap 22 for the first caution
    • Lap 236 for the final caution
  • 19 drivers on the lead lap

Past Kobalt 400 Pole Sitters

  • Pole winners have an average finish of 12.69
  • Average laps lead: 23.38 laps (8.76% of the race)
  • Kyle Busch is the only pole winner to go to victory lane

Past Kobalt 400 Winners

  • The average race winner’s starting position is 10.4
    • Matt Kenseth started from P25 in 2004, the furthest back a race winner has started
  • 46.15% of the winners have come from starting in the top 5
  • 61.54% of the winners have come from starting in the top 10
  • The mode, or most common, starting position of the race winner is P2, P3, and P18 (with the most recent win of the mode coming from P18 in 2015)
  • Winning drivers have lead an average of 71.7 laps (26.85% of the race)
    • Fewest laps led by race winner: Jimmie Johnson lead 1 lap (0.37% of the race) in 2006
    • Most laps led by a race winner: Kevin Harvick led 142 laps (53.18% of the race) in 2015
  • There have been 7 different race winners from 7 different teams since 2004
    • Jimmie Johnson leads the [active] field with 4 wins
      • Most recent win was 2010
    • Hendrick Motorsports lead the field with 4 wins

Team & Manufacturer Statistics

To account for recent performance, the 2017 stats will be included with the 2016 stats until a few races are complete. This will also show us the new teams for 2017.

Both Kurt Busch and Brad Keselowski are now on their way to the Chase, and that gives Ford two victories to open the 2017 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series.

Kobalt 400 Predictions & Analysis

Brad Keselowski went to victory lane one year ago, with teammate Joey Logano right behind in P2. Keselowski won last weekend’s race; could he make it two in a row? Will we see Jimmie Johnson pick up the pieces are find victory early, as he usually does in a season? Or can Kevin Harvick redeem himself from the disappointment last weekend at Atlanta Motor Speedway?

We see Brad Keselowski have a difficult time early in his career at LVMS, but that has since turned around. His first four races averaged a finish of 30.4, but his last four races have averaged a finish of 3rd, with two victories. While Jimmie Johnson has not won in a while, excluding 2015, he has finished near the front of the field. Can either of these two make it back to victory lane this weekend? Or will another driver drive their way into the Playoffs?

Ashley Hobbs

I was born on the 9th of March in a year which you need not know. I was born and raised in the great state of New Jersey, but I now reside in Florida. Here is a bit about myself:

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I hope you enjoy my segment, Crunching the Numbers, and getting insights into each weekend's NASCAR race!

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