Crunching The Numbers: 2017 Food City 500

The first off weekend has come and gone; now, we find ourselves on the high banks of Bristol Motor Speedway for the Food City 500! This is a track where the term “rubbin is racing” means something; and with the stage racing, could we see a bit more rubbin’ and bumpin’? Tune in Sunday, April 23rd @ 2pm (EST) on FOX to find out!

Bristol Motor Speedway Track Specs

  • Track Configuration: 0.533 Mile Oval
  • Scheduled Laps: 500 (266.5 miles)
    • Stage 1 End Lap: 125
    • Stage 2 End Lap: 250
  • Turns 1 – 4 banking: 24° –  30°
  • Frontstretch
    • Length: 650 feet
    • Banking: 4°-9°
  • Backstretch
    • Length: 650 feet
    • Banking: 4°-9°
  • Pit Road Speed: 30mph (maximum before speeding penalty is 35mph)

 

Trends of the Race

  • Overtime: 5 times since 2004; most recently in 2015
  • Caution Finishes: 1 time since 2004 in 2014
  • Rain Shortened: 0

Trending of the past 5 races:

  • Margin of Victory 0.867 seconds
  • 11 cautions
    • Lap 32 for the first caution
    • Lap 484 for the final caution (16 laps before the end)
  • 17 drivers on the lead lap

Trending of the past 10 races:

  • Margin of Victory 0.706 seconds
  • 11 cautions
    • Lap 33  for the first caution
    • Lap 486 for the final caution (14 laps before the end)
  • 17 drivers on the lead lap

Food City 500 Pole Sitters

  • Pole winners have an average finish of 8.85
  • Average laps lead: 59.31 laps (11.9% of the race)
  • 15.4% of pole winners find their way to victory lane

 

Food City 500 Winners

  • The average race winner’s starting position is 9.15
    • Kyle Busch started from P20 in 2007, the furthest back a race winner has started
  • 34.5% of the winners have come from starting in the top 5
  • 53.9% of the winners have come from starting in the top 10
  • The mode, or most common, starting position of the race winner is P1, P12, and P13
    • Each position has 2 wins since 2004
  • Winning drivers have lead an average of 126.9 laps (25.37% of the race)
    • Fewest laps led by race winner: Jeff Burton lead 2 laps (0.4% of the race) in 2008
    • Most laps led by a race winner: Kyle Busch led 378 laps (75.6% of the race) in 2009
  • There have been 9 different race winners from 5 different teams since 2004
    • Kyle Busch leads the [active] field with 3 wins
    • Joe Gibbs Racing lead the field with 4 wins

Team & Manufacturer Statistics

With Jimmie Johnson finding his way to victory lane, the NASCAR community will turn their attention to another driver, who wins a lot, but who has not won this season yet. Will Joey Logano be the next target, or will someone else? Will the focus remain on the young drivers who are extremely fast this year; such as Chase Elliott, Ryan Blaney, and Kyle Larson?

Food City 500 Predictions & Analysis

Last year’s Food City 500 winner, Carl Edwards, is not racing this time around. The runner up, Dale Earnhardt Jr., is in the field and looking to notch better finishes.

Ashley Hobbs

Birthday: 9 March 1989 (so I do not have to update my age each year)
Location: Florida (Jersey native, born and raised)

What better way to combine 2 of my favorite things, NASCAR and statistics, than providing y'all with an analytical report each weekend during the NASCAR season.

When I am not crunching the numbers, I spend time with my hubby, 3 black cats (Ninja, Daytona, and Chronos), and I watch too much TV, especially Doctor Who. Why yes, I am a geek and proud! So join forces with me and follow my weekly Crunching The Numbers segment. Who knows, I may surprise you!

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