Crunching The Numbers: 2017 AAA 400

The AAA 400 Drive for Autism at Dover International Speedway is bound to be a good one! The Monster Mile (as Dover is often called), is a short, fierce track. With Austin Dillon stealing away a victory in the Coca-Cola 600, can we see something similar take place this weekend?

Dover International Speedway Track Specs

  • Track Configuration: 1 Mile Oval
  • Scheduled Laps: 400 (400 miles)
    • Stage 1 End Lap: 120
    • Stage 2 End Lap: 240
  • Turns 1 – 4 banking: 24°
  • Frontstretch
    • Length: 1,076 feet
    • Banking: 9°
  • Backstretch
    • Length: 1,076 feet
    • Banking: 9°
  • Pit Road Speed: 35mph

AAA 400 Trends of the Race

  • Overtime: 1 (2015)
  • Caution Finishes: 0
  • Rain Shortened: 0

Trending of the past 5 Spring races:

  • Margin of Victory 0.969 seconds
  • 8 cautions
    • First Caution: Lap 55
    • Final Caution: Lap 380 (20 laps to go)
  • 15 drivers on the lead lap

Trending of the past 10 Spring races:

  • Margin of Victory 2.696 seconds
  • 7 cautions
    • First Caution: Lap 43
    • Final Caution: Lap 352 (48 laps to go)
  • 15 drivers on the lead lap

AAA 400 Pole Sitters

  • Pole winners have an average finish of 11
  • Average laps lead: 74.38 laps (18.6% of the race)
  • 7.7% of pole winners find their way to victory lane
    • Ryan Newman in 2006
  • Most laps led by a pole sitter is 207 by Jimmie Johnson in 2011
    • He failed to win that race

AAA 400 Winners

  • The average race winner’s starting position is 9.8
    • Martin Truex Jr. started from P26 in 2007, the furthest back a race winner has started
  • 46.2% of the winners have come from starting in the top 5
  • 69.2% of the winners have come from starting in the top 10
  • Winning drivers have lead an average of 127 laps (31.8% of the race)
    • Fewest laps led by race winner: Tony Stewart lead 3 laps (0.8% of the race) in 2013
    • Most laps led by a race winner: Jimmie Johnson led 298 laps (74.5% of the race) in 2009
  • There have been 8 different race winners from 6 different teams since 2004
    • Jimmie Johnson leads the field with 4 wins
    • Hendrick Motorsports leads the field with 4 wins

AAA 400 Team & Manufacturer Statistics

With Austin Dillon’s victory in the longest race of the season, he has propelled himself into the Playoffs with 8 other drivers. Entering the AAA 400, there are a few drivers who have yet to win this season, that likely should have a victory already. Kyle Busch is one of them, and Dover happens to be a great track for him. Can Kyle Busch find his way to victory lane at the Monster Mile? Or will we see another driver, perhaps Chase Elliott, earn his way into the Playoffs?

AAA 400 Predictions & Analysis

Chase Elliott had a great run in the AAA 400 last year; can he capitalize on that this year and finally head to victory lane? Will we see Jimmie Johnson add another Miles the Monster trophy to his trophy case? Can Kyle Busch finally win this year? Or, will another driver come out on top?

Ashley Hobbs

Birthday: 9 March 1989 (so I do not have to update my age each year)
Location: Florida (Jersey native, born and raised)

What better way to combine 2 of my favorite things, NASCAR and statistics, than providing y'all with an analytical report each weekend during the NASCAR season.

When I am not crunching the numbers, I spend time with my hubby, 3 black cats (Ninja, Daytona, and Chronos), and I watch too much TV, especially Doctor Who. Why yes, I am a geek and proud! So join forces with me and follow my weekly Crunching The Numbers segment. Who knows, I may surprise you!

One Comment


    Pam tellep

    May 31, 2017 at 9:12 pm

    This if fabulous Ashley! You definitely will make it to daytona and NASCAR. I love all the stats. Very informative!!!! GREAT JOB!!!!!!

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