Crunching The Numbers: 2017 Overton’s 301

NASCAR is headed to the Northeast this weekend for the Overton’s 301 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway. Is this the weekend that Joe Gibbs Racing finally breaks through? Or will Martin Truex Jr. continue his dominance on Intermediate tracks?

New Hampshire Motor Speedway Track Specs

  • Track Configuration: 1.058 Mile Oval
    • Scheduled Laps: 301 (318.458 miles)
    • Stage 1 End Lap: 75
    • Stage 2 End Lap: 150
  • Turns 1 – 4 banking: 12°
  • Frontstretch
    • Length: 1,500 feet
    • Banking: 2°
  • Backstretch
    • Length: 1,500 feet
    • Banking: 2°

 

Overton’s 301 Trends of the Race

  • Overtime: 3 (2006, 2013, & 2014)
  • Caution Finishes: 3 (2008, 2009, & 2015)
  • Rain Shortened: 5

Trending of the past 5 Spring races:

  • Margin of Victory 1.513 seconds
  • 7 cautions
    • First Caution: Lap 34
    • Final Caution: Lap 284 (17 laps to go)
  • 23 drivers on the lead lap

Trending of the past 10 Spring races:

  • Margin of Victory 1.092 seconds
  • 7 cautions
    • First Caution: Lap 35
    • Final Caution: Lap 276 (25 laps to go)
  • 24 drivers on the lead lap

Overton’s 301 Pole Sitters

  • Pole winners have an average finish of 12.0
  • Average laps lead: 46.9 laps (15.6% of the race)
  • 15.4% of pole winners find their way to victory lane
  • Most laps led by a pole sitter is 187 (62.1% of the race) by Ryan Newman in 2004

Overton’s 301 Winners

  • The average race winner’s starting position is 12.5
    • Kurt Busch started from P32 in 2004, the furthest back a race winner has started
    • The mode of race winner’s starting position is P1 & P13
  • 30.8% of the winners have come from starting in the top 5
  • 46.2% of the winners have come from starting in the top 10
  • Winning drivers have lead an average of 69.6 laps (23.1% of the race)
    • Fewest laps led by race winner: Jimmie Johnson led 8 laps (2.7% of the race) in 2010
    • Most laps led by a race winner: Tony Stewart led 232 laps (77.1% of the race) in 2005
  • There have been 11 different race winners from 6 different teams since 2004
    • Kurt Busch and Ryan Newman leads the active field with 2 wins each
    • Joe Gibbs Racing leads the field with 5 wins

Overton’s 301 Team & Manufacturer Statistics

It could finally, maybe, be Joe Gibbs Racing’s weekend for victory! Matt Kenseth is the defending race winner, and Joe Gibbs Racing has the most wins at this track. With the cutoff to the Playoffs looming in the near future, these drivers need to win so they do not have to rest on points alone.

Overton’s 301 Predictions & Analysis

Ashley Hobbs

Birthday: 9 March 1989 (so I do not have to update my age each year)
Location: Florida (Jersey native, born and raised)

What better way to combine 2 of my favorite things, NASCAR and statistics, than providing y’all with an analytical report each weekend during the NASCAR season.

When I am not crunching the numbers, I spend time with my hubby, 3 black cats (Ninja, Daytona, and Chronos), and I watch too much TV, especially Doctor Who. Why yes, I am a geek and proud! So join forces with me and follow my weekly Crunching The Numbers segment. Who knows, I may surprise you!

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