Crunching The Numbers: 2017 Overton’s 400

The Tricky Triangle is back for its second visit this season with the Overton’s 400. Earlier this year, Ryan Blaney captured his first career Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series victory. Could we see another first time winner this weekend?

Pocono Raceway Track Specs

  • Track Configuration: 2.5 Mile Tri-Oval
  • Scheduled Laps: 160 (400 miles)
    • Stage 1 End Lap: 50
    • Stage 2 End Lap: 100
  • Turn 1 banking: 14°
  • Tunnel Turn (Turn 2) banking: 8°
  • Turn 3 banking: 6°
  • Frontstretch
    • Length: 3,740 feet
  • Backstretch
    • Length: 3,055 feet
  • Short Stretch (between Turn 2 and Turn 3)
    • Length: 1,780
  • Pit Road Speed: 55mph

Overton’s 400 Trends of the Race

These stats include both 500 and 400 mile races. The race changed to a distance of 400 miles in 2012.

  • Overtime: 2005
  • Caution Finishes: 2005, 2012, & 2016
  • Rain Shortened: 2012 & 2016
  • *These stats account for the 400 mile races only*

Trending of the past 5 Spring races:

  • Margin of Victory 3.544 seconds
  • 7 cautions
    • First Caution: Lap 11
    • Final Caution: Lap 126 (43 laps to go)
  • 23 drivers on the lead lap
  • *2012 was when the race went from 200 laps/500 miles to 160 laps/400 miles*

Overton’s 400 Pole Sitters

  • Pole winners have an average finish of 13.5
  • Average laps lead: 26.2 laps (16.4% of the race)
  • 7.7% of pole winners find their way to victory lane
  • Most laps led by a pole sitter is 151 (94.4% of the race) by Denny Hamlin in 2006
    • He went on to win that race

Overton’s 400 Winners

  • The average race winner’s starting position is 11.4
    • Jeff Gordon started from P27 in 2012, the furthest back a race winner has started
    • The mode of race winner’s starting position is P2
  • 23.1% of the winners have come from starting in the top 5
  • 46.2% of the winners have come from starting in the top 10
  • Winning drivers have lead an average of 20.4 laps (12.8% of the race)
    • Fewest laps led by race winner: Matt Kenseth led 2 laps (1.3% of the race) in 2015
    • Most laps led by a race winner: Kasey Kahne led 66 laps (41.3% of the race) in 2013
  • There have been 11 different race winners from 5 different teams since 2004
    • Kurt Busch & Denny Hamlin lead the field with 2 wins a piece
    • Hendrick Motorsports leads the field with 4 wins

Overton’s 400 Team & Manufacturer Statistics

Overton’s 400 Predictions & Analysis

One can never go wrong with Kyle Larson when it comes to fast tracks; and Pocono Raceway is a track like that. But, can someone else step up and challenge?

Ashley Hobbs

Birthday: 9 March 1989 (so I do not have to update my age each year)
Location: Florida (Jersey native, born and raised)

What better way to combine 2 of my favorite things, NASCAR and statistics, than providing y'all with an analytical report each weekend during the NASCAR season.

When I am not crunching the numbers, I spend time with my hubby, 3 black cats (Ninja, Daytona, and Chronos), and I watch too much TV, especially Doctor Who. Why yes, I am a geek and proud! So join forces with me and follow my weekly Crunching The Numbers segment. Who knows, I may surprise you!

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