Crunching The Numbers: 2017 Quaker State 400

For only the 7th time, the series heads to Kentucky Speedway for the Quaker State 400. This is a race that has been dominated by Brad Keselowski of Team Penske, and a few drivers from Joe Gibbs Racing. Joe Gibbs Racing is currently winless this season, so it is very likely that they have a huge circle around this weekend’s Saturday night race.

Kentucky Speedway Track Specs

  • Track Configuration: 1.5 Mile D-Shaped Oval
    • Scheduled Laps: 267 (400 miles)
    • Stage 1 End Lap: 80
    • Stage 2 End Lap: 160
  • Turns 1 – 4 banking: 14°
  • Frontstretch
    • Length: 1,662 feet
    • Banking: 10°
  • Backstretch
    • Length: 1,600 feet
    • Banking: 4°

Quaker State 400 Trends of the Race

First Quaker State 400 race at Kentucky Speedway was held in 2011

  • Overtime: 0
  • Caution Finishes: 0
  • Rain Shortened: 0

Trending of the past 5 Spring races:

  • Margin of Victory 1.576 seconds
  • 8 cautions
    • First Caution: Lap 27
    • Final Caution: Lap 226 (41 laps to go)
  • 21 drivers on the lead lap

Quaker State 400 Pole Sitters

  • Pole winners have an average finish of 10.7
  • Average laps lead: 80.5 laps (30.1% of the race)
  • 33.3% of pole winners find their way to victory lane
  • Most laps led by a pole sitter is 199 (74.5% of the race) by Brad Keselowski in 2014
    • He went on to win that race

Quaker State 400 Winners

  • The average race winner’s starting position is 6.2
    • Matt Kenseth started from P16 in 2013, the furthest back a race winner has started
    • The mode of race winner’s starting position is P1
  • 50.0% of the winners have come from starting in the top 5
  • 83.3% of the winners have come from starting in the top 10
  • Winning drivers have lead an average of 111.3 laps (41.7% of the race)
    • Fewest laps led by race winner: Matt Kenseth lead 38 laps (14.2% of the race) in 2013
    • Most laps led by a race winner: Tony Stewart led 199 laps (74.5% of the race) in 2014
  • There have been 3 different race winners from 2 different teams since 2011
    • Brad Keselowski leads the active field with 3 wins
    • Joe Gibbs Racing & Team Penske lead the field with 3 wins each

Quaker State 400 Team & Manufacturer Statistics

It should be no surprise that Joe Gibbs Racing has the best average finish, followed by Team Penske; given the fact that all Quaker State 400 winners have come from those teams. The best team without a victory at Kentucky Speedway is Hendrick Motorsports. With only 9 races left until the Playoffs begin, this is a great track for winless drivers, and past Quaker State 400 winners, like Kyle Busch and Matt Kenseth (both from Joe Gibbs Racing) to get to victory lane.

Quaker State 400 Predictions & Analysis

Teammates Kyle Busch and Matt Kenseth share the same (and best) average finish in the Quaker State 400. Kyle Busch has 2 victories to Matt Kenseth’s 1 victory, but they have a 100% success rate at a top 15 finish; Matt Kenseth has a 100% success rate at a top 10 finish. Will either of the Joe Gibbs Racing drivers finally catch their break? Or, will Brad Keselowski grab victory at Kentucky Speedway once again?

Ashley Hobbs

I was born on the 9th of March in a year which you need not know. I was born and raised in the great state of New Jersey, but I now reside in Florida. Here is a bit about myself:

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I hope you enjoy my segment, Crunching the Numbers, and getting insights into each weekend's NASCAR race!

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