Crunching The Numbers: 2017 ISM Connect 300

A few months ago, Matt Kenseth found glory in the Overton’s 301 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway. Can he also win the ISM Connect 300, defending his win from earlier this year, and assure himself a spot in the second stage of the Playoffs?

New Hampshire Motor Speedway Track Specs

  • Track Configuration: 1.058 Mile Oval
    • Scheduled Laps: 301 (318.458 miles)
    • Stage 1 End Lap: 75
    • Stage 2 End Lap: 150
  • Turns 1 – 4 banking: 12°
  • Frontstretch
    • Length: 1,500 feet
    • Banking: 2°
  • Backstretch
    • Length: 1,500 feet
    • Banking: 2°

 

ISM Connect 300 Trends of the Race

  • Overtime: 1 (2014)
  • Caution Finishes: 1 (2009)
  • Rain Shortened: 0

Trending of the past 5 Fall races:

  • Margin of Victory 2.748 seconds
  • 8 cautions
    • First Caution: Lap 54
    • Final Caution: Lap 270 (30 laps to go)
  • 23 drivers on the lead lap

Trending of the past 10 Fall races:

  • Margin of Victory 3.157 seconds
  • 8 cautions
    • First Caution: Lap 53
    • Final Caution: Lap 254 (46 laps to go)
  • 22 drivers on the lead lap

ISM Connect 300 Pole Sitters

  • Pole winners have an average finish of 9.8
  • Average laps lead: 70.8 laps (15.4% of the race)
  • 23.6% of pole winners find their way to victory lane
  • Most laps led by a pole sitter is 222 (74.0% of the race) by Clint Bowyer in 2007

ISM Connect 300 Winners

  • The average race winner’s starting position is 11.3
    • Denny Hamlin started from P32 in 2012, the furthest back a race winner has started
    • The mode of race winner’s starting position is P1, P7, P9, & P13
  • 23.1% of the winners have come from starting in the top 5
  • 53.8% of the winners have come from starting in the top 10
  • Winning drivers have lead an average of 103.9 laps (34.6% of the race)
    • Fewest laps led by race winner: Tony Stewart led 2 laps (0.7% of the race) in 2011
    • Most laps led by a race winner: Clint Bowyer led 222 laps (74.0% of the race) in 2007
  • There have been 10 different race winners from 6 different teams since 2004
    • Clint Bowyer, Kevin Harvick, & Matt Kenseth lead the active field with 2 wins each
    • Joe Gibbs Racing & Richard Childress Racing leads the field with 3 wins

ISM Connect 300 Team & Manufacturer Statistics

With Martin Truex Jr. winning, yet again this season, he is the strongest driver right now. Will he play it safe this weekend, or continue to tally up wins? Can Matt Kenseth sweep New Hampshire Motor Speedway races this year? Does Kevin Harvick repeat?

ISM Connect 300 Predictions & Analysis

Drivers in yellow are in the Playoffs

Ashley Hobbs

Birthday: 9 March 1989 (so I do not have to update my age each year)
Location: Florida (Jersey native, born and raised)

What better way to combine 2 of my favorite things, NASCAR and statistics, than providing y'all with an analytical report each weekend during the NASCAR season.

When I am not crunching the numbers, I spend time with my hubby, 3 black cats (Ninja, Daytona, and Chronos), and I watch too much TV, especially Doctor Who. Why yes, I am a geek and proud! So join forces with me and follow my weekly Crunching The Numbers segment. Who knows, I may surprise you!

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