Crunching the Numbers: 2018 Daytona 500

And just like that folks, the 2018 Daytona 500 is upon us! The offseason has come to an end, there is fresh talent on the track, and everyone is ready to get the season started!

 Daytona International Speedway Track Specs

  • Track Configuration: 2.5 Mile Tri-Oval
    • Scheduled Laps: 200 (500 miles)
    • Stage 1 End: Lap 60
    • Stage 2 End: Lap 120
  • Turns 1 – 4 banking: 31°
  • Frontstretch
    • Length: 3,800 feet
    • Banking: 18°
  • Backstretch
    • Length: 3,000 feet
    • Banking: 6°

Daytona 500 Trends of the Race

  • Overtime: 7 (2005, 2006, 2007, 2010, 2011, 2012, & 2015)
  • Caution Finishes: (2006, 2009, 2014, & 2015)
  • Rain Shortened: 1 (2009)

Trending of the past 5 Daytona 500 races:

  • Margin of Victory 0.122 seconds
  • 7 cautions
    • First Caution: Lap 25
    • Final Caution: Lap 186 (14 laps to go)
  • 25 drivers on the lead lap

Trending of the past 10 Daytona 500 races:

  • Margin of Victory 0.129 seconds
  • 8 cautions
    • First Caution: Lap 33
    • Final Caution: Lap 188 (12 laps to go)
  • 26 drivers on the lead lap

Daytona 500 Pole Sitters

  • Pole winners have an average finish of 17.9
  • Average laps lead: 13.8 laps (6.9% of the race)
  • 0% of pole winners find their way to victory lane
  • Most laps led by a pole sitter was 87 (43.5% of the race) by Jeff Gordon in 2015
    • Gordon finished P33

Daytona 500 Winners

  • The average race winner’s starting position is 14.1
    • The median race winner’s starting position is P9
    • The mode of race winner’s starting position is P9
    • Matt Kenseth started from P39 in 2009, the furthest back a race winner has started
  • 21.4% of the winners have come from starting in the top 5
  • 57.1% of the winners have come from starting in the top 10
  • Winning drivers have lead an average of 27.6 laps (13.8% of the race)
    • Fewest laps led by race winner: Kurt Busch led 1 lap (0.5% of the race) in 2017
    • Most laps led by a race winner: Denny Hamlin led 95 laps (47.5% of the race) in 2016
  • There have been 11 different race winners from 9 different teams since 2004
    • Jimmie Johnson leads the active field with 2 wins
    • Hendrick Motorsports leads the field with 4 wins

Daytona 500 & Manufacturer Statistics

Drivers are associated with their 2018 team, and the 2017 statistics reflects the new driver/team combinations.

Toyota cleaned up in 2017 but struggles in the Daytona 500. Can they carry this momentum into 2018 and find victory lane early? Or, will Chevrolet’s new body style come out roaring?

Daytona 500 Analytical Prediction

Kevin Harvick sits on top the prediction charts for an early visit to victory lane in 2018. We also see reigning Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series champion Martin Truex Jr. inside the top 10. Could one of these veterans find their way to victory lane? Or, will a new driver in the series spoil the veteran party?

Ashley Hobbs

I was born on the 9th of March in a year which you need not know. I was born and raised in the great state of New Jersey, but I now reside in Florida. Here is a bit about myself:

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I hope you enjoy my segment, Crunching the Numbers, and getting insights into each weekend's NASCAR race!

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