Crunching the Numbers: 2018 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500

As they say, the ‘real season’ begins at Atlanta Motor Speedway in the Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500! The defending race winner is Brad Keselowski. Does he have the right statistics to make it back to victory lane this year?

 Atlanta Motor Speedway Track Specs

  • Track Configuration: 1.54 Mile Quad-Oval
    • Scheduled Laps: 325 (500.5 miles)
    • Stage 1 End: Lap 85
    • Stage 2 End: Lap 170
  • Turns 1 – 4 banking: 24°
  • Frontstretch
    • Length: 2,332feet
    • Banking: 5°
  • Backstretch
    • Length: 1,800 feet
    • Banking: 2°
  • Fuel Window: 50-55 laps

Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 Trends of the Race

  • Overtime: 5 (2009, 2010, 2012, 2014, & 2016)
  • Caution Finishes: 1 (2016)
  • Rain Shortened: 0

Trending of the past 5 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 races:

  • Margin of Victory 0.920 seconds
  • 8 cautions
    • First Caution: Lap 78
    • Final Caution: Lap 295 (30 laps to go)
  • 16 drivers on the lead lap

Trending of the past 10 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 races:

  • Margin of Victory 0.837 seconds
  • 8 cautions
    • First Caution: Lap 49
    • Final Caution: Lap 299 (26 laps to go)
  • 17 drivers on the lead lap

Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 Pole Sitters

  • Pole winners have an average finish of 14.4
  • Average laps lead: 56.8 laps (17.5% of the race)
  • 7.1% of pole winners find their way to victory lane
    • Kasey Kahne in 2006
  • Most laps led by a pole sitter was 292 (60.0% of the race) by Kevin Harvick in 2017
    • Harvick finished P9

Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 Winners

  • Defending race winner: Brad Keselowski
    • 2018 average finish: 32
  • The average race winner’s starting position is 9.0
    • The median race winner’s starting position is P6.5
    • The mode of race winner’s starting position is P5 & P7
    • Jimmie Johnson started from P37 in 2015, the furthest back a race winner has started
  • 42.9% of the winners have come from starting in the top 5
  • 78.6% of the winners have come from starting in the top 10
  • Winning drivers have lead an average of 92.6 laps (28.5% of the race)
    • Fewest laps led by race winner: Carl Edwards led 9 laps (2.8% of the race) in 2005 – this would be Carl Edward’s first career victory in the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup series
    • Most laps led by a race winner: Kurt Busch led 234 laps (72.0% of the race) in 2009
  • There have been 9 different race winners from 6 different teams since 2004
    • Jimmie Johnson leads the active field with 3 wins
    • Hendrick Motorsports leads the field with 5 wins
    • Fun Stat: The Busch Brothers (Kurt & Kyle) combine for 4 victories, 2 a piece

Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 Team & Manufacturer Statistics

Drivers are associated with their 2018 team, and the 2017/2018 statistics reflects the new driver/team combinations. After a few races, the statistics will change to reflect only 2018.

Chevrolet kicked off the season with a victory in the Daytona 500. They have also been quite successful in the Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500.

Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 Predictions

Chase Elliott did not start the season off in the Daytona 500 very well, but he does run really well at Atlanta Motor Speedway. This could be a chance for redemption for Elliott, along with many other drivers who found themselves in a pickle after Daytona.

Ashley Hobbs

I was born on the 9th of March in a year which you need not know. I was born and raised in the great state of New Jersey, but I now reside in Florida. Here is a bit about myself:

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I hope you enjoy my segment, Crunching the Numbers, and getting insights into each weekend's NASCAR race!

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