Crunching The Numbers: O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 at TMS

After the first off-weekend of the season, the O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 at Texas Motor Speedway awaits the drivers. After a stint on the West Coast, and coming back to the East Coast, it is back out they go. Texas Motor Speedway is a super fast track; who has what it takes to fire off some six-shooters in victory lane?

Texas Motor Speedway Track Specs

  • Track Configuration: 1.5 Mile -QuadOval
    • Scheduled Laps: 334 (501 miles)
    • Stage 1 End: 85
    • Stage 2 End: 170
  • Turns 1 – 4 banking: 24°
  • Frontstretch
    • Length: 2,250 feet
    • Banking: 5°
  • Backstretch
    • Length: 1,330 feet
    • Banking: 5°

O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 Trends of the Race

  • Overtime: 2 (2007 & 2014)
  • Caution Finishes: 0
  • Rain Shortened: 0
  • 2017 O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 Winners
    • Stage 1 Winner: Ryan Blaney
      • Finished P12
    • Stage 2 Winner: Ryan Blaney
      • Finished P12
    • Race Winner: Jimmie Johnson
      • P2 in Stage 2

Trending of the past 5 O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 races:

  • Margin of Victory 1.267 seconds
  • 7 cautions
    • First Caution: Lap 16
    • Final Caution: Lap 311 (23 laps to go)
  • 20 drivers on the lead lap

Trending of the past 10 O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 races:

  • Margin of Victory 1.881 seconds
  • 6 cautions
    • First Caution: Lap 31
    • Final Caution: Lap 282 (52 laps to go)
  • 16 drivers on the lead lap

O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 Pole Sitters

  • Pole winners have an average finish of 10.7
  • 14.3 of pole winners find their way to victory lane
  • Average laps lead: 68.4 laps (20.5% of the race)
  • Most laps led by a pole sitter was 173 (51.8% of the race) by Jeff Gordon in 2007
    • Gordon finished P4

O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 Winners

  • The average race winner’s starting position is 8.7
    • The median race winner’s starting position is P4.5
    • The mode of race winner’s starting position is P2
    • Denny Hamlin started from P29 in 2010, the furthest back a race winner has started
  • 64.3% of the winners have come from starting in the top 5
  • 71.4% of the winners have come from starting in the top 10
  • Winning drivers have lead an average of 92.1 laps (27.6% of the race)
    • Fewest laps led by race winner: Jeff Burton led 1 lap (0.3% of the race) in 2007
    • Most laps led by a race winner: Greg Biffle led 219 laps (65.6% of the race) in 2005
  • There have been 11 different race winners from 7 different teams since 2004
    • Jimmie Johnson & Kyle Busch lead the active field with 2 wins each
    • Roush Fenway Racing leads the field with 4 wins
  • Fun Fact: Drivers who led laps in the 2017 STP 500 finished in the top 6 in stage one, but only the top 3 of stage two

O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 Team & Manufacturer Statistics

Furniture Row Racing has the best average finish this season, and Team Penske has the best average finish for a multi-car team.

Chip Ganassi Racing has the best average finish in the O’Reilly Auto Parts 500, but they have no victories.

O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 Predictions

Kyle Busch is still looking to crack victory lane after being so close all season long. Two years ago, he made it to victory lane. The year before that, Jimmie Johnson made it to victory lane, and Johnson is the defending race winner. Could a pattern emerge here and finally send Kyle Busch to victory lane? Or will Denny Hamlin fire off another pair of six-shooters at Texas Motor Speedway?

Ashley Hobbs

Birthday: 9 March 1989 (so I do not have to update my age each year)
Location: Florida (Jersey native, born and raised)

What better way to combine 2 of my favorite things, NASCAR and statistics, than providing y'all with an analytical report each weekend during the NASCAR season.

When I am not crunching the numbers, I spend time with my hubby, 3 black cats (Ninja, Daytona, and Chronos), and I watch too much TV, especially Doctor Who. Why yes, I am a geek and proud! So join forces with me and follow my weekly Crunching The Numbers segment. Who knows, I may surprise you!

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