Crunching The Numbers: Toyota Owners 400 at RIR

Can Kyle Busch continue his hot streak with the first night race of the season in the Toyota Owners 400 from Richmond International Raceway? After he and retired fan favorite Dale Earnhardt Jr. discussed a small run-in at Richmond a decade ago, will Busch have more fire to win Saturday night? Will we see a new winner this time around, or a repeat? How much attention will Joey Logano receive? He is the defending race winner, but had the victory encumbered and he ended up missing the Playoffs. Some of these answers are below; some, we will have to wait out.

Richmond International Raceway Track Specs

  • Track Configuration: 0.75 Mile D-Shaped Oval
  • Scheduled Laps: 400 (300 miles)
    • Stage 1 End Lap: 100
    • Stage 2 End Lap: 200
  • Turns 1 – 4 banking: 14°
  • Frontstretch
    • Length: 1,290 feet
    • Banking: 8°
  • Backstretch
    • Length: 860 feet
    • Banking: 2°

Toyota Owners 400 Trends of the Race

  • Overtime: 2 (2008, 2013)
  • Caution Finishes: 0
  • Rain Shortened: 0
  • 2017 Toyota Owners 400 Winners
    • Stage 1 Winner: Matt Kenseth
      • Finished P23
    • Stage 2 Winner: Brad Keselowski
      • Finished P2
    • Race Winner: Joey Logano
      • P10 in both stages

Trends of the past 5 Toyota Owners 400:

  • Margin of Victory 0.699 seconds
  • 9 cautions
    • Lap 52 for the first caution
    • Lap 378 for the final caution (22 laps before the end)
  • 25 drivers on the lead lap

Trends of the past 10 Toyota Owners 400:

  • Margin of Victory 1.034 seconds
  • 9 cautions
    • Lap 53 for the first caution
    • Lap 373 for the final caution (27 laps before the end)
  • 21 drivers on the lead lap

Toyota Owners 400 Pole Sitters

  • Pole winners have an average finish of 10.5
  • 21.4% of pole winners find their way to victory lane
  • Average laps lead: 113.2 laps (28.3% of the race)
  • Most laps led by a pole sitter was 381 (95.3% of the race) by Denny Hamlin in 2008
    • Hamlin finished P24

Toyota Owners 400 Winners

  • The average race winner’s starting position is 9.1
    • Race winner’s median starting position: 4.5
    • Race winner’s mode starting position: 1 & 4 (3 wins each from these positions)
    • Clint Bowyer started from P31 in 2008, the furthest back a Toyota Owners 400 winner has started
  • 64.3% of the winners have come from starting in the top 5
  • 64.3% of the winners have come from starting in the top 10
  • Winning drivers have lead an average of 113.6 laps (28.4% of the race)
    • Winning drivers have lead the same number of laps as the pole winner
    • Fewest laps led by race winner: Kevin Harvick (driving for Richard Childress Racing) led 3 laps (0.8% of the race) in 2013
    • Most laps led by a race winner: Kurt Busch (driving for Stewart Haas Racing) led 291 laps (72.8% of the race) in 2015
  • The Toyota Owners 400 has seen 10 unique winners from 8 different teams since 2004
    • Kyle Busch lead the active field with 4 wins
    • Joe Gibbs Racing leads the field with 5 wins
  • Fun Facts
    • Kyle Busch won 4 races in a row (2009-2012). Since then, he has an average finish of 11.25, with two podium finishes
    • The 5 times the Toyota Owners 400 winner has not started in the top 5, he averaged a starting position of 20

Toyota Owners 400 Team & Manufacturer Statistics

Chevrolet and Toyota are even when it comes to the Toyota Owners 400, while one of Ford’s victories is encumbered. This season, Team Penske has the best team average and would like to win this weekend, and not have the focus on last year’s encumbered win. But, they will have to tangle with none other than Joe Gibbs Racing in the Toyota Owners 400 to make that happen. Led by Kyle Busch, Joe Gibbs Racing must be the favorite this weekend, right?

Toyota Owners 400 Predictions

Surprise (or not); Kyle Busch and Kevin Harvick come out on top, with Joey Logano rounding out the podium. A winner this year, and Toyota Owners 400 winner as well, Clint Bowyer would love to spoil the party, as would winless drivers (this season) Denny Hamlin and Jimmie Johnson.

Ashley Hobbs

I was born on the 9th of March in a year which you need not know. I was born and raised in the great state of New Jersey, but I now reside in Florida. Here is a bit about myself:

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I hope you enjoy my segment, Crunching the Numbers, and getting insights into each weekend's NASCAR race!

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