Crunching The Numbers: Gander Outdoors 400 at Pocono Raceway

It seems like yesterday we were at Pocono Raceway. This time, NASCAR is here for the Gander Outdoors 400. The June race is at the start of the summer and the July race is in the heat of summer; so, the races do tend to be slightly different. The one thing that is similar is the number of cautions Pocono Raceway sees each year is very similar. The Pocono 400 saw 6 cautions, so we can expect a very similar number for the Gander Outdoors 400. Now, onto some figures!

Pocono Raceway Track Specs

  • Track Configuration: 2.5 Mile Tri-Oval
  • Scheduled Laps: 160 (400 miles)
    • Stage 1 End Lap: 50
    • Stage 2 End Lap: 100
  • Turns 1 banking: 14°
  • Turns 2/Tunnel Turn banking: 8°
  • Turns 3 banking: 6°
  • Frontstretch
    • Length: 3,740 feet
  • Backstretch
    • Length: 3,055 feet
  • Short Stretch (between Turn 2 and Turn 3)
    • Length: 1,780
  • Pit Road Speed: 55mph

Gander Outdoors 400 Trends of the Race

Pocono Raceway Gander Outdoors 400 Trends of the Race

  • Overtime: 0 (at 400 miles)
  • Caution Finishes: 2 (2012 & 2016)
  • Rain Shortened: 2 (2012 & 2016)
  • 2017 Overton’s 400 Winners
    • Race Winner: Kyle Busch
      • Stage 1 winner
    • Stage 1 Winner: Kyle Busch
      • Finished P1
    • Stage 2 Winner: Clint Bowyer
      • Finished P6

Trends of the past 6 Gander Outdoors 400 (2012 is when this race went to 400 miles):

  • Margin of Victory 4.203 seconds
  • 7 cautions
  • First Caution: Lap 10
  • Final Caution: Lap 122 (38 laps before the end)
  • 22 drivers on the lead lap

Gander Outdoors 400 Pole Sitters

Pocono Raceway Gander Outdoors 400 Pole Winners

  • Pole winners have an average finish of 12.6
  • 14.3% of pole winners find their way to victory lane
  • Average laps lead: 29.6 laps (18.5% of the race)
  • Most laps led by a pole sitter was 151 (94.4% of the race) by Denny Hamlin in 2006
    • Hamlin won the race

Gander Outdoors 400 Winners

Pocono Raceway Gander Outdoors 400 Race Winners

  • The average race winner’s starting position is 10.6
    • Race winner’s median starting position: 10.5
    • Race winner’s mode starting position: P1 & P2
    • Further back a race winner has started: P27 – Jeff Gordon (driving for Hendrick Motorsports) in 2012
  • 28.6% of the winners have come from starting in the top 5
  • 50.0% of the winners have come from starting in the top 10
  • Winning drivers have lead an average of 67.7 laps (42.3% of the race)
    • Fewest laps led by race winner: Kurt Busch (driving for Roush Fenway Racing) led 2 laps (1.3% of the race) in 2005
    • Most laps led by a race winner: Kurt Busch (driving for Team Penske) led 175 laps (87.5% of the race) in 2007
    • Most laps led by a race winner since the Gander Outdoors 400 dropped from 500 to 400 miles: Kyle Busch (driving for Joe Gibbs Racing) led 74 laps (46.3% of the race) in 2017
  • The Gander Outdoors 400 has seen 12 unique winners from 4 different teams
    • Denny Hamlin and Kurt Busch lead the active field with 2 wins each
    • Hendrick Motorsports and Joe Gibbs Racing lead the field with 4 wins each
  • Fun Facts
    • When the Gander Outdoors 400 was 500 miles, 50% of the race winners led over 60% of the laps
    • Since the change, no driver has led over 50% of the race (Kyle Busch came the closest in 2017)

Gander Outdoors 400 Team & Manufacturer Statistics

NASCAR season Team Statistics & Pocono Raceway Gander Outdoors 400 Statistics

NASCAR season Manufacturer Statistics & Pocono Raceway Gander Outdoors 400 Statistics

Pocono Raceway Gander Outdoors 400 Manufacturer Wins

 

If there was a silver lining for the Chevrolet camp, it would be Pocono Raceway. Then again, there have been several tracks this season where Chevrolet carried the torch for most wins and one of the other teams picked up the trophy. Chevrolet last won the first race of the reason; that means, come this weekend, it will be 20 races since the bow tie has cracked victory lane. Who is the best chance to break this losing streak?

 

Gander Outdoors 400 Predictions

NASCAR Pocono Raceway Gander Outdoors 400 Race Predictions

The highest ranked Chevrolet driver in these rankings is Jimmie Johnson; who, himself, is on a long streak without a victory. The last time Johnson saw victory lane was at the 2017 AAA 400 at Dover International Speedway (44 races ago). Right below him is Kyle Larson, who is on a 31 week losing streak himself, but has been close a few times this season. Good news for these two, maybe, they were the only two Chevrolet drivers in top 10 in the June Pocono 400 race.

But, to no surprise, the top 10 is full of Ford and Toyota. Since Martin Truex Jr. won at Pocono Raceway in June, things do not look good for the Chevrolet teams.

Pocono Raceway Gander Outdoors 400 Past Finishes of Top 5 Predictions

Ashley Hobbs

I was born on the 9th of March in a year which you need not know. I was born and raised in the great state of New Jersey, but I now reside in Florida. Here is a bit about myself:

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I hope you enjoy my segment, Crunching the Numbers, and getting insights into each weekend's NASCAR race!

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